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The demand for gold jewellery was already low in the last year due to a number of reasons such as US-China trade war, interest rate cuts by various central banks worldwide, economic slowdown worldwide, increased gold prices, etc. Ongoing lockdown across India to curb Coronavirus outbreak has put a further dent on its demand. Let’s understand its impact on various aspects of gold:
The domestic jewellery and gold consumer demand is dependent on a specific budget and due to the lockdown, overall reduction has been seen in disposable income. If gold prices continue to increase which is happening currently, it will have a negative impact on the overall demand.
As per the report by Inda-Ra, the demand for gold will remain muted till September 2021 and business from rural areas and weddings may remain resilient. From October 2021, sales are likely to improve and sharp recovery is expected afterwards due to the festive, wedding season and normalization in economic activities. However, if the pandemic continues to evolve, it can have a prolonged negative impact on gold demand.
In the long-term, experts believe that demand for gold jewellery will be supported by the rise in savings due to postponement of purchases and cancellation of travel plans among other reasons. However, it remains to be seen whether such savings would add to jewellery demand or will be used in compensating loss of income or saved for emergency situations.
Many experts believe that the gold industry is expected to bounce back after 2021 with increasing gold rates and continued attraction to gold jewellery due to traditional factors.
As the scale of the pandemic and its potential economic impact started to emerge, investors are looking for safe-haven assets and investment in gold seems to have emerged largely due to worsening economic scenarios across the world. The slowdown in global growth along with geopolitical stress would continue to keep the price afloat. So, the current situation is a good time to slightly increase your gold investments in a bid to diversify. Different gold investment options have been discussed in briefly below
Here is the comparison between these two on basic aspects:
In accordance with RBI Covid-19 regulatory package, banks and NBFCs offering gold loan service to their customers will extend a moratorium involving deferment of instalments for a period up to 3 months. For instance, if your installment (interest and principal) is falling between March 1, 2020 and May 31, 2020, one can choose to pay afterwards as a relief measure by RBI to those whose income/cash flows are affected by COVID-19.
By availing the moratorium option, you will defer your immediate instalments/EMIs. One should know there is no concession or waiver in interest or principal offered by RBI. The interest will continue to accrue for the period of moratorium and this interest will be added to your outstanding principal.
Eligible borrowers who wish to take advantage of this scheme will have to “opt in” by submitting an application given on the website of the bank one have taken loan from along with a scanned copy of signed request letter duly signed by Borrowers, guarantors and co-obligants.
In this case, the respective bank/NBFC will not ask for EMI till 31st May 2020 but the interest will continue to accrue on the outstanding principal at the interest rate you have taken gold loan from.
Although RBI has permitted all banks and NBFCs to offer moratorium, listed below are some of the banks providing the same:
If your income to service interest on your gold loan is sufficient or you have the financial capacity, then it is suggested to continue to pay your accrued interest (i.e. without availing moratorium). However, if your income or cash flow is affected then you can pay after the end of the moratorium period. Here one should know that interest accruing during this three month period shall be added to the principal to be repaid through future EMIs/instalments as may be fixed by the respective banks/NBFCs. Here are the options through which borrower can make the payment of the deferred EMIs/Instalments with accrued interest: